Demolishing Indian Economy
Locking up healthy people in their homes and putting wholesale populations under house arrest is perverse. Coronavirus panic merchants and fearmongers have wrecked entire economies based on flimsy evidence and with little public scrutinity. Lockdowns have no ‘historical scientific basis’. No matter which way we look at it, this equation just does not compute.
In Europe, Asia and American states, there is little connection between Covid-19 fatality rates and the timing and stringency of lockdown measures. Full lockdowns might not have saved lives as Covid-19 deaths had plateaued before lockdowns kicked in. Neighbouring countries with less restrictive measures experience similar timelines in the epidemic’s curve. In the UK ‘up to 1,50,000 extra non-Covid 19 people, including 18,000 cancer patients, could die because the coronavirus fixation has caused neglect of other killer diseases. What will India’s balance be between lives saved and sacrificed? Prime Minister Narendra Modi especially should have been instinctively suspicious of the Nehruvian conviction in the good that governments can do while dismissing the unintended consequences of large-scale state interventions.
India’s social, family, housing and water-cum sanitations realities are a nightmare for any highly infectious and very lethal pandemic. A tight lockdown is impossible in Indian conditions. India’s age pyramid is the opposite of the West’s, with many young who are the least vulnerable to coronavirus. India’s lack of adequate hospitals might be one explanations for the slower spread of infections, yet India is uniquely vulnerable to lockdown shocks because of the overwhelming dominance of the informal sector and migrant daily wage labourers. Instead of self harm from the harsh lockdown, India could have invested to urgently upgrade the rickety public health system, ensuring permanent gains in lives saved
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